In what appears to be a repeat of the 2016 presidential election, “experts” rolled out by the liberal media are predicting that Joe Biden will win. But just as fake news outlets such as CNN assured their base that Hillary would be president, they have lost touch with some old math. Consider some of the recent propaganda headlines the biased media has run.
- 75% of top executives now say Biden will win the 2020 Presidential election, CNBC survey reveals ~ CNBC
- Professor who accurately predicted every election since 1984 says Biden will beat Trump ~ CBS News
- Biden has 71% chance of winning 2020 election against Trump, forecast says ~ The Independent
Winning the White House requires winning the majority of the Electoral College votes. There are 538 electoral votes up for grab each election. A candidate needs to win at least 270 of them to win. In 2016 President Donald Trump crushed Hillary Clinton by securing more than 300 Electoral College Votes to her 227.
The 2020 election maps are looking eerily similar to the 2016 ones. The political establishment may want to sharpen their pencils because Biden continues to trail in many key battleground states.
Assume, for the moment, that the 2016 Electoral map holds the key data to make an educated assessment of the 2020 election. Hardcore Red and Blue states are unlikely to change. California and New York will be won by Biden at no effort of his own. The same can be said on President Trump’s side in regards to the Deep South and Mid-West states support.
The media is pushing the Biden will win lie by asserting that he’ll win Texas. Texas has been a reliably Republican state for decades. No Democrat has won the state in Still some election “experts” are putting the lone star state’s 38 electoral votes on Biden’s side of the ledger. In order to perpetuate the false claim Biden is leading, this is a necessary lie.
But polls are tricky and give a perceived edge to Biden in states President Trump won in 2016. Take Pennsylvania, for example. Hillary led Pennsylvania by as much as 6 points heading into the 2016 election, but lost the state to Trump in the election. Biden currently hovers around a 4.2-point lead in the state as of this writing. Considering the number of jobs and business revitalization President Trump helped bring back in Pennsylvania, and Biden’s past promises to ban fracking and destroy the coal industry it’s highly unlikely the state will fall to Biden.
Left-wing pollsters are, again, claiming a Democrat lead in Florida. But in this key swing state, President Trump has created a Southern White House, taken up permanent residence, and built a powerful ground game with voters. Polls show Trump is gaining on Biden when it comes to Latino voters. Latino voters make up as much as 10% of Florida’s eligible voters. Democrats are banking on cheat-by-mail schemes and illegal alien votes.
A recent Wall Street Journal analysis made some astute observations. It points out that if there is going to be flip-flopping, Minnesota and Arizona are in play. Liberal “experts” won’t even call Minnesota a battleground state. But in recent weeks, six Iron Range mayors have denounced Biden and thrown their support behind Pres. Trump. These are hardcore Democrats who haven’t waivered in a generation. Hillary carried Minnesota by a slim 1.4 points in 2016. The boots-on-the-ground wisdom is that Biden will lose.
With 15 electoral votes, North Carolina is considered a must win by both candidates. Biden is predicting he’ll win it, but he shouldn’t be so cocky. Many believe North Carolina will swing back Republican based on recent trends. While overall the state is moving toward the left, in 2018 Republicans won big in the state. Trump won the state by a razor slim margin in 2016.
Even if Biden manages to lie and scheme his way to taking Michigan, New Hampshire, Arizona, and Wisconsin, President Trump wins 278-260. The more likely scenario is Trump 301, Biden 238, which is almost exactly the same as his 2016 numbers against Hillary.
It’s a funny thing that Electoral College. Densely populated liberal cities, fake news polls, and so-called “experts” don’t put people in the White House, states do.