Now that we’re starting to get some actual data on the thing from China that’s been spreading around the globe, we’re in the very early stages of learning some stuff. And that stuff is much better than the wild witch doctor prophecies we’ve been listening to ever since the medical bureaucrats decided to get their tyranny on with the US economy.
That’s the thing about actual data and numbers: When you have those, you can do some real “science.” Everything else is just doomsday prophecies and global warming predictions.
As of this writing, the total number of new confirmed Chinese virus cases in New York has plummeted to 358. That’s a 75% drop in just four days. On the West Coast, the story is much the same, even though San Francisco’s numbers have held steady on new cases.
The states of California, Oregon, Washington are sending hundreds of ventilators back to the national stockpile, after it turn out that their witch doctor predictions wildly overestimated just how bad the outbreak was going to be. California returned 500 ventilators, Washington returned 400 and Oregon returned about 140. We don’t know the total number that New York returned, but it will be in the hundreds as well, if not over 1,000.
The deaths that all of those Democrat governors and their totalitarian state epidemiologists were praying for just haven’t materialized for some reason.
And those two big 1,000-bed Navy hospital ships parked in the harbors in New York and Los Angeles? Neither one has reached a total of 50 patients yet.
In Italy, the numbers are finally beginning to drop as well, and researchers are now trying to figure out exactly what happened. The University of Milan has been testing people to see how many actually had the virus and never showed symptoms. Their latest statistical estimate, which is better than any crazy estimate we’ve seen from the World Health Organization or the CDC here in the US, predicts that as many as 20 million Italians had asymptomatic cases. They never even developed the sniffles.
That would put the coronavirus death toll in Italy at about 0.25%. That’s still more than twice as deadly as seasonal flu, but nowhere near the 3.8 to 4.5% death toll that all the experts told us would happen.
A separate study in northern Italy tested 60 people in Castaglione D’Adda. The catch was that in order to be tested for coronavirus antibodies, you had to be a healthy person with no indication that you had even caught a seasonal cold or flu this year. 40 of the 60 patients who had never showed symptoms of the virus had the antibodies, meaning they had coronavirus at some point, never knew it, and are now immune.
Further translation: We may have just destroyed the most prosperous economy in the history of the world over a virus that two-thirds of us are already immune to.
And if that many of us are immune to it because we’ve had it already, it means that the bug is way more contagious than we previously thought (unlikely), OR, it’s been around since at least last fall.
Australia may have provided another answer to a question that a lot of us have had all along. The Communist Chinese own tons of industries in Australia (especially heavy metals and mining). Australia and China had a lot of daily direct flights before the travel restrictions were put in place. And yet Australia has only had 41 deaths at this point. What could account for the disparity in cases and deaths between the US and Europe on the one hand, and Australia on the other?
Summer, obviously. Australia has been enjoying hot summer temperatures as northern countries dragged through a bad winter. New York City’s daily temperature average through March was 45 degrees. In the first week of April, it’s been averaging 55 degrees as spring approaches.
As the numbers continue to plummet, the totalitarians are going to be quick to pat themselves on the back and give each other awards for wrecking the American economy. “See! Our social distancing and lockdowns saved you! It totally worked and we saved millions of lives by bossing everyone around!”
This, of course, is ridiculous. The same witch doctor models that predicted 11 million dead Americans assumed that we would achieve FULL social distancing, with every American staying at least 6 feet away from all other humans. Did that ever happen at any point during the past three weeks at your local grocery store? I’ve been in close contact with more people in the last three weeks at the grocery store, thanks to the shutdowns, than I’ve been in contact with over the previous decades.
The virus appears to be going away despite the best efforts and best wishes of the petty tyrants and their witch doctors.